Category: Trading

  • Price Action Analysis: An Easy Explainer

    Price Action Analysis: An Easy Explainer

    Price Action Analysis

    Have you ever felt the stock market is a complex puzzle with cryptic messages hidden within its charts? Price action analysis can be your decoder ring. This trading technique sheds light on the market psychology by focusing on the price movements.

    In this blog, we will delve deeper into the world of price action analysis, exploring its core principles and how you can use them to make informed trading decisions.

    Price Action Overview

    Price Action Analysis is a method for traders to understand the market by examining the movement of a security’s price over time. It is a core concept in technical analysis, though some consider it distinct because it completely focuses on price movements without relying on additional indicators.

    Price action traders concentrate on the highs, lows, openings and closings of a security’s price to identify trends, buying and selling pressures and trading opportunities.

    By analysing price movements, traders can determine whether the price is in an uptrend, downtrend, or consolidation phase.

    Traders use price action analysis to make informed decisions about entering or exiting trades.

    Evolution of Price Action Analysis

    Evolution of Price Action Analysis

    Although the exact origin of price action analysis is unclear, but we can trace its roots back to the beginning of the market analysis.

    In the early 20th century, before formal technical analysis existed, traders tracked prices on charts. This focus on price movements itself is the foundation of price action analysis.

    In the 1880s, Charles Dow, a journalist and financial analyst, laid the groundwork for technical analysis with his Dow Theory. While not purely price-action-focused, it emphasized the importance of trends and price movements.

    In the 1900s, technical indicators like moving averages and RSI started gaining prominence. While these provided additional data points, price remained a key input.

    The late 20th century made traders feel that the dependence on complex indicators was detracted from understanding the price. This led to a renewed focus on price action analysis as a distinct approach.

    Since then, the rise of online trading platforms and advanced charting software has made price action analysis more accessible to individual traders.

    How to use Price Action Analysis

    • Remove clutter from your charts. Get rid of technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, etc. leaving just candlesticks to focus purely on price movements.
    • Understand the concept of uptrends and downtrends to understand the overall direction.
    • Numerous price patterns emerge from the price action and can signal future movements. Some of the common examples are,
      • Reversal Patterns – Head & Shoulders, Double top/bottom, Triple top/bottom, etc.
      • Continuation Patterns – Pennants, Flags, Triangles, etc.
      • Breakout Patterns – Breakouts above resistance or below support can signal trend continuation.

    While price action is valuable, it should not be used in isolation. Consider using it alongside other confirmation methods such as volume, corporate events, news & events, etc.

    Once you have grasped these concepts, you can use price action analysis to develop a trading strategy. This entails determining entry and exit points for your trades based on identified patterns and confirmations. Remember that every trader has their own judgement and analysis.

    Advantages of Price Action Analysis

    There are several advantages of using price action in your trading strategy. A few of them are:

    • Price action focuses on the core element of the market, i.e., price itself. This can be easier to learn and understand.
    • It can be applied to almost all the markets and asset classes, regardless of the underlying security or economic factors. In forex trading, most of the traders use Price Action analysis as there are no fundamentals in the forex market.
    • Price Action highlights trends which allow traders to position themselves according to the prevailing trend.
    • Understanding support, resistance levels, and critical concepts in price action analysis can help traders set stop-loss orders to manage risk.
    • Unlike some technical indicators that may become outdated as markets evolve, price action analysis focuses on the fundamental concept of price movements, making it a timeless approach.

    Disadvantages of Price Action Analysis

    • Interpreting pricing trends is subjective, which is a disadvantage. It is highly likely that traders can evaluate the same price activity and come to different conclusions, which can lead to missed opportunities or even bad trades if misinterpretations occur.
    • Price patterns are not perfect predictors; they may generate false signals, which can lead to wrong trades. This can be frustrating and result in losses.
    • Price movements can be influenced by short-term factors and random noise, making it challenging to distinguish between genuine signals and fleeting fluctuations. This can lead to confusion and difficulty in making clear trading decisions, particularly in short time frames.
    • Price action analysis focuses solely on price movements and ignores other important factors that can affect markets, such as fundamental company analysis, economic data and news events. These factors can also affect prices and should be considered for a well-rounded analysis.
    • Past price movements do not necessarily dictate future outcomes. Markets can be unpredictable, and unexpected events can cause price movements to deviate from expected patterns.

    Read Also: What is Price Action Trading & Price Action Strategy?

    Conclusion

    Price action analysis offers a valuable lens for understanding the market. However, it is just one piece of the trading puzzle. You can strengthen your trading decisions by combining it with other technical analysis methods, such as RSI, MACD, Moving Averages, etc., and sound risk management strategies.

    Moreover, to accurately spot patterns using price action analysis, it needs time and effort. New traders may require assistance interpreting the charts correctly.

    As you gain experience, you will develop your own analytical edge and become more confident in navigating the ever-changing market landscape.

    If you’re facing difficulty in Risk Management, check out our blog – Risk Management in Trading

    Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

    1. What is a Price Action analysis?

      In Price Action analysis, you look at price movements on charts to identify trends, support/resistance levels, and trading opportunities.

    2. What do price action traders focus on?

      The price action traders focus on Candlestick patterns and analyse how price interacts with past highs and lows.

    3. Is price action challenging to learn?

      The core concepts are relatively simple, but mastering it takes time and practice.

    4. Do I need special software for price action analysis?

      There is no requirement of a special charting software. Any charting platform that shows historical price data will work for Price Action analysis.

    5. Is price action analysis good for day trading or long-term investing?

      It can be applied to both, depending on the specific patterns and timeframes used. However, the shorter the time frame, the higher the chances of generating noise, which may create issues in identifying trends.

  • Chart Patterns All Traders Should Know

    Chart Patterns All Traders Should Know

    When analyzing trading charts, certain formations appear repeatedly. Traders use these to identify potential trading opportunities. In this article, we’ll explore various chart patterns crucial for understanding the Indian stock market.

    What is a Chart Pattern?

    A chart pattern is a specific formation on a price chart that is repeated over time. By studying these patterns, traders attempt to predict future price movements based on historical outcomes. However, it’s important to note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

    Types of Chart Patterns

    Chart patterns can be broadly categorized into three types:

    Continuation Patterns
    These patterns indicate that the current trend will continue. Examples include flags, pennants, and triangles.

    Reversal Patterns
    These suggest that the current trend is likely to change direction. Examples include double tops, double bottoms, and head and shoulders.

    Bilateral Patterns
    These patterns indicate that the market could move in either direction, often due to increased volatility. Examples include symmetrical triangles.

    Read Also: What are Candlestick Patterns? Overview and Components

    Common Chart Patterns in Technical Analysis

    1. Ascending and Descending Staircases
      These are basic chart patterns that indicate a clear trend. An ascending staircase shows a market moving upward with higher highs and higher lows. Conversely, a descending staircase indicates a downward trend with lower lows and lower highs.
    2. Ascending Triangle
      An ascending triangle is formed when a horizontal resistance line meets an ascending support line. It usually signals a continuation of an uptrend.
    3. Descending Triangle
      A descending triangle occurs when a horizontal support line meets a descending resistance line. It typically indicates a continuation of a downtrend.
    4. Symmetrical Triangle
      This pattern forms when two trend lines converge symmetrically. It can signal a continuation of the current trend or indicate potential volatility leading to a breakout in either direction.
    5. Flag
      Flag patterns are short-term continuation patterns that resemble a small rectangle sloping against the prevailing trend. Bullish flags slope downwards, while bearish flags slope upwards.
    6. Wedge
      Wedge patterns are similar to flags but have converging trend lines. A rising wedge is a bearish signal, while a falling wedge is bullish.
    7. Double Top
      A double top is a bearish reversal pattern that appears after a significant uptrend. It consists of two peaks at roughly the same level, signaling a potential downtrend.
    8. Double Bottom
      A double bottom is a bullish reversal pattern seen after a significant downtrend. It features two troughs at similar levels, indicating a possible upward trend.
    9. Head and Shoulders
      This is a bearish reversal pattern with three peaks: a higher central peak (the head) flanked by two lower peaks (the shoulders). It signals a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
    10. Rounded Top and Bottom
      These patterns are reversal signals. A rounded top suggests a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend, while a rounded bottom indicates a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend.
    11. Cup and Handle
      This bullish continuation pattern resembles a cup with a handle. The cup forms a rounded bottom, followed by a smaller consolidation (handle) before a breakout.

    How to Trade Using Chart Patterns

    Confirm the Pattern
    Wait for a pattern to confirm itself by watching for a breakout in the expected direction. Volume indicators can help confirm the validity of a pattern.

    Set Stop Loss
    Always set a stop loss to manage risk. Place it at a level where the pattern is deemed to have failed.

    Choose a Profit Target
    Determine a profit target based on the height of the pattern. For instance, if a flag pattern has a height of 50 points, set a profit target 50 points beyond the breakout level.

    Read Also: Best Options Trading Chart Patterns

    Conclusion

    Understanding and recognizing chart patterns can significantly enhance your trading strategy in the Indian stock market. By identifying these patterns, you can make informed trading decisions and better manage risks. Remember, while chart patterns provide valuable insights, no pattern is infallible, so always use risk management strategies.

    FAQs

    1. What is the most successful chart pattern?

      The most successful chart pattern can vary, but many traders consider the head and shoulders pattern to be one of the most reliable.

    2. Which chart pattern is most powerful?

      The head and shoulders pattern is often considered the most powerful due to its strong predictive nature for trend reversals.

    3. What is the most accurate trading pattern?

      The double bottom pattern is often seen as highly accurate, especially for identifying bullish reversals.

    4. Which chart style is best for trading?

      Candlestick charts are generally considered the best for trading due to their detailed representation of price action.

    5. Which is the most accurate chart?

      Candlestick charts are regarded as the most accurate for technical analysis and trading decisions.

    6. How many types of chart patterns are there?

      There are three main types of chart patterns: continuation, reversal, and bilateral patterns.

    7. How many types are chart patterns?

      There are three types of chart patterns: continuation, reversal, and bilateral.

    8. What is the most successful chart pattern?

      The head and shoulders pattern is often cited as the most successful chart pattern.

    9. Which chart is best for trading?

      Candlestick charts are widely considered the best for trading.

    10. How many types of charts are there in the stock market?

      There are four main types of charts used in the stock market: line charts, bar charts, candlestick charts, and point-and-figure charts.

    11. How to use a chart pattern?

      To use a chart pattern, identify the pattern on the chart, confirm it with volume and other indicators, set a stop loss, and determine a profit target based on the pattern’s size.

    12. Which chart pattern is best for trading?

      The head and shoulders pattern is often considered the best for trading due to its reliability.

    13. What is the chart pattern strategy?

      The chart pattern strategy involves identifying specific patterns on price charts, confirming them, and making trades based on the predicted price movement.

    14. Are chart patterns enough for trading?

      While chart patterns are valuable, they should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and risk management strategies for effective trading.

    15. How to read a chart in trading?

      To read a chart in trading, understand the basic components such as price action, timeframes, and volume, and identify patterns and trends.

    16. What is a chart pattern analysis?

      Chart pattern analysis involves studying historical price movements to identify patterns that predict future price movements.

    17. What is charts analysis?

      Chart analysis, or technical analysis, is the study of price charts to forecast future price movements based on historical data.

    18. How do you make a chart analysis?

      To make a chart analysis, select a chart type, identify trends and patterns, use technical indicators for confirmation, and interpret the data to make trading decisions.

    19. What are the three types of chart patterns?

      The three types of chart patterns are continuation patterns, reversal patterns, and bilateral patterns.

    20. Why are chart patterns important?

      Chart patterns are important because they help traders predict future price movements and make informed trading decisions based on historical price behavior.

  • What is T+0 Settlement : Overview And Benefits

    What is T+0 Settlement : Overview And Benefits

    In the evolving world of financial markets, every second counts. From traders seeking to capitalise on fleeting opportunities to investors aiming to swiftly reallocate their portfolio. Efficiency in transaction execution is crucial. This demand has fuelled the evolution of settlement systems in India and the much-awaited T+0 settlement is here, revolutionising the Indian trading landscape with lightning-fast transactions. But is it all sunshine and rainbows?

    In this blog, we will explore its benefits for investors along with some important considerations before you jump in.

    Overview

    T+0 settlement refers to a system where trades in shares are settled on the same day they occur. In simpler terms, when you buy a stock, the shares are transferred to the buyer, i.e., your demat account and the seller receives the money immediately.

    SEBI is launching T+0 in a beta version. This allows brokers to offer it optionally alongside the existing T+1 system in India.

    Did you know?

    As of April 2024, China is the only country with T+0 trade settlement cycle.

    If we look back at history, the settlement cycle in the Indian stock market was shortened from T+5 to T+3 in 2002 and then further to T+2 in 2003. In 2021, Sebi introduced the T+1 settlement cycle in a phased manner, which was fully implemented from January 2023.

    Currently, India operates on a T+1 settlement cycle, where trades are settled on the next business day.

    With the introduction of the T+0 settlement, sellers will receive their money right away, and buyers get the shares they purchase on the same day. This allows for greater liquidity, flexibility, and faster settlement; allowing traders to react to the market movements more quickly.

    It is a pilot program, launched on March 28, 2024, and applies to 25 stocks initially.

    T+0 Settlement will happen in two phases:

    1. In the first phase, an optional T+0 settlement cycle for trades till 1:30 pm is envisaged, with the settlement of funds and securities to be completed on the same day by 4:30 pm.
    2. In the second phase, an optional immediate trade-by-trade settlement will be carried out for trades till 3.30 pm.

    According to SEBI, a shorter settlement cycle can improve efficiency and transparency for investors, while strengthening the risk management for clearing corporations and the entire stock market system.

    Operational Guidelines for T+0 Settlement

    Overview of T+0

    1. Eligible Investors

      All investors can participate if they meet the requirements fixed by the Market Infrastructure Institutions (MIIs) like depositories and exchanges. These requirements could involve factors like risk management capabilities and transaction timelines.

      2. Trade Timings

        Currently, T+0 trading happens in a single session from 9:15 am to 1:30 pm.

        3. Price Band

          To manage volatility, T+0 trades occur within a price range of +/- 100 basis points compared to the T+1 market price for the same security. This range will be adjusted whenever the T+1 market price moves by 50 basis points.

          4. Index Calculation and Settlement Price Computation

            Trades happening within the T+0 settlement won’t influence index calculations or final settlement prices. Additionally, there won’t be a separate closing price specifically for T+0 trades.

            Furthermore, the only method of early payment for T+0 sell obligations will be through the use of a locking mechanism. T+0 will not accept early payment via pool or regular pay-in instructions.

            5. Fees/ Charges

              All the charges/fees like Transaction Charges, STT, and Regulatory Turnover Fees that are applicable for T+1 settled securities will be applicable for T+0 settled securities.

              Other key Points

              • T+0 trades are separate from T+1 trades. There is no netting of obligations between the two cycles.
              • T+0 trade prices will not be reflected in market indices or settlement price calculations, and separate closing prices won’t be determined based solely on T+0 trades.
              • There won’t be any Trading in T+0 settled securities on the following days:
              1. On the Ex-date of any corporate action in the corresponding T+1 settled securities (including the scheme of arrangement).
              2. On the day of the index rebalancing of the corresponding T+1 settled securities.
              3. On the settlement holiday.

              List of Stocks

              As of April 2024, there are a total of 25 stocks available in T+0 settlement cycle:

              Name of the Company
              Ambuja Cements LimitedLIC Housing Finance Limited
              Ashok Leyland LimitedMRF Limited
              Bajaj Auto LimitedNestle India Limited
              Bank of BarodaNmdc Limited
              Bharat Petroleum Corporation LimitedOil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited
              Birlasoft LimitedPetronet Lng Limited
              Cipla LimitedState Bank of India
              Coforge LimitedTata Communications Limited
              Divi’s Laboratories LimitedTrent Limited
              Hindalco Industries LimitedUnion Bank of India
              The Indian Hotels Company LimitedVedanta Limited
              Jsw Steel LimitedLtimindtree Limited
              Samvardhana Motherson International Limited

              Read Also: What is Zero Days to Expiration (0DTE) Options and How Do They Work?

              Benefits for Investors

              Benefits of T+0
              1. With immediate access to funds, investors can react more quickly to market fluctuations. They can sell a stock and use the proceeds to buy another one right away, potentially capturing short-term gains.
              2. The increased ease and speed of transactions under T+0 could lead to higher trading volumes, benefitting investors who enjoy active trading.

              Let us understand the T+0 settlement with the help of an example:

              Consider a scenario where an investor buys 100 shares of company named “Pocket” through an online brokerage platform. With T+0 settlement, the transaction is processed immediately, and the investor’s trading account is debited for the buy amount + transaction charges while the shares are simultaneously credited to the buyer’s demat account.

              Similarly, the seller’s trading account is credited with the proceeds from the sale instantly upon execution, and the shares are debited from the demat account.

              Conclusion

              To sum it up, T+0 settlement offers investors a faster and more dynamic trading experience, particularly those focused on short-term strategies. The quicker access to funds and reduced settlement risk can be beneficial for navigating the volatile markets and capitalising on fleeting opportunities.

              However, investors should also be aware of the potential drawbacks, such as the possibility of increased volatility and the need for stricter discipline to avoid impulsive trades. It is also important to keep in mind that T+0 is a relatively new concept and there may be some unforeseen challenges. Investors should carefully consider the risks before actively trading in a T+0 environment.

              Read Also: What are T2T (Trade to trade) stocks?

              Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

              1. Is T+0 suitable for all investors?

                While beneficial for day traders and short-term investors, it might not suit everyone because of higher volatility.

              2. What are some drawbacks of T+0 settlement?

                Some drawbacks are that higher transaction volume might result in increased volatility, and pressure to make decisions more quickly, which can result in impulsive trades and possible technical issues from clearing houses.

              3. How many securities are available for T+0 settlement in the Beta phase?

                A total of 25 securities are available in T+0 settlement as of April 2024.

              4. Who can trade in the T+0 settlement?

                All members eligible to trade in the Capital Market Segment shall be able to trade in T+0 settled securities.

              5. I have traded in T+0; can I change the settlement type?

                No. Orders for T+0 and T+1 settled securities are executed in separate series.

              Disclaimer: The securities, funds, and strategies mentioned in this blog are purely for informational purposes and are not recommendations.

            1. What are Candlestick Patterns? Overview and Components

              What are Candlestick Patterns? Overview and Components

              Investing directly in stocks can generate more income, but you’re probably next thinking about how to identify the best stock and make predictions about whether its value will increase or decrease. Candlestick patterns are used by both seasoned and new traders to make such predictions. 

              Use this blog as a beginner’s guide to candlestick patterns.

              Overview

              Candlestick patterns are used by technical analysts to forecast the direction of stock price movement. Every candlestick represents a different time interval, such as a minute, hour, day, etc. 

              Parts of Candlestick

              There are four major components of a candlestick. 

              • Open Price – This is the price at which a security begins trading in a time frame.
              • High Price – This refers to the highest price at which a security has traded in a particular time frame.
              • Low Price – This is the lowest price where the security has traded in a time frame.
              • Close Price – This is the price at which security last traded in a time frame.

              Components of Candlestick

              • Body – The candle’s body refers to the area between the opening and closing price of a particular security over a time frame.
              • Wick   Also known as the candle’s shadow, the wick is the thin line extending above and below the body. It reflects the highest and lowest stock prices a stock touches over a time frame.
              Parts of Candlestick

              Colors of Candlestick

              Green or White – This coloured candle shows that the close price is higher than the open price and thus reflects an upward or bullish trend in the market.

              Red or Black – This signifies a bearish trend in security as it indicates that the closing price is lower than the opening price.

              Importance of Candlestick Pattern

              1. The candlestick pattern allows us to visually represent price movements.
              2. Candlestick patterns can be used with technical indicators to provide a better insight into the movement of stock.
              3. It assists the traders in managing their portfolio risk by helping them predict their exit.
              4. The size and color of the candle help traders understand the market sentiment.

              Read Also: Introduction to Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Implications and Price Movement Prediction

              Types of Candlestick Patterns

              Candlestick patterns can be divided into 2 parts

              1. Bullish Pattern
              2. Bearish Pattern

              Bullish Candlestick Patterns 

              This pattern indicates that following a stock price correction, the stock price will rebound and begin to trend upward. Traders typically utilize candlestick patterns to enter a stock after it has shown an upward trend.

              Bullish Engulfing Pattern 

              This candlestick pattern indicates the completion of a downward trend and a turnaround. It appears as two candles, the larger of which eats, the smaller bearish candle to become a bullish candle. It illustrates how momentum may shift from negative to positive. 

              Because the body of the bullish candlestick “engulfs” the entire body of the previous bearish candlestick, it is dubbed “engulfing”. This pattern is more likely to appear after a significant decrease in the stock price and when the stock is finding support at its crucial levels. A greater volume also implies that buyers are showing interest in the stock. 

              Bullish engulfing pattern

              Morning Star Candlestick Pattern

              Typically, this three-candle bullish pattern emerges toward the bottom of a downward trend. This pattern will show a lengthy bearish candle as the first candle, indicating that sellers have majority of the power over the stock, and a little body candle as the second candle, indicating that selling pressure may be easing. The last or third candle will be a lengthy bullish candle that closes above the middle of the first candle. This implies that buyers are trying to manipulate the price of the stock entirely. The size of the second small body candle boosts the pattern’s power. This pattern is more consistent when it proceeds in a long-term downward direction. 

              Morning star candlestick pattern

              Three White Soldier

              This bullish reversal candlestick pattern consists of three successive white or green candles. It usually happens close to the end of a declining trend and suggests an impending upward trend. All three white candles open higher than the previous day’s candle body and close at a higher price. All three candles should be free of an upper shadow, signifying continuous buying pressure. Every candle in the pattern should indicate a purchasing suggestion by having a body larger than the previous one. Through this pattern, it is thought that buyers are actively building momentum in the stock. 

              3 white soldiers

              Bearish Candlestick Pattern 

              This pattern typically develops during an advance, when a stock hits its resistance level and the market has a correction in the price of the stock as a result of selling pressure or investor profit-booking. 

              Hanging Man

              This unique candlestick pattern usually appears following an upward trend. It is known as a bearish reversal pattern, indicating that an uptrend is likely to halt and a stock price correction is likely to occur. The candle appears hanging since its top portion is small, its bottom shadow is long, and it reaches beyond the light’s body. On the other hand, there are either very few or no shadows in the upper portion. It emerges following a robust ascent and a rise in sales volume.  

              Hanging Man

              Shooting Star

              The shooting star candlestick pattern, also known as the inverted hammer candlestick pattern, indicates that an upward trend in a stock is about to halt and a negative trend is about to begin. The lone candlestick in this pattern lacks a bottom shadow, albeit a small one is acceptable. It has a small body with a longer top shadow. This candle usually shows that sellers were applying pressure on the price, which prevented buyers from raising the price even if they tried.  

              Shooting Star

              Bearish Engulfing

              It is seen as a strong reversal signal, meaning that the current trend is set to halt and there may be further downward movement. This pattern also consists of two candlesticks; the first is green and has a little body. By encompassing the whole range of the previous day’s candle, the second candle opens above the close and closes below the open price. In order for the pattern to exist, there must be a significant difference in size between the first and second candles.

              Bearish Engulfing Pattern

              Read Also: Chart Patterns All Traders Should Know

              Conclusion

              The candlestick pattern is a valuable tool traders use to analyze market trends and forecast the direction of stock movement. But before making any investment, a trader needs to have a deeper comprehension of the candlestick patterns. Technical and fundamental analysis is also necessary to execute a good trade; thus, it’s important to realize that candlestick patterns are not always accurate.

              Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

              1. How do I use candlestick charts to make trading decisions?

                A candlestick chart helps you identify the momentum and direction of the stock, which can help you make your investment decision. However, along with these charts, it is essential to use different technical tools and consider the overall market condition before executing any trade.

              2. Why do candlesticks have different shapes and sizes?

                The size of the candle changes with the price movement of the stock.

              3. How can a beginner learn about the candlestick pattern?

                A beginner’s first step is learning about the candlestick structure and identifying a few basic candlestick patterns. He can do this through books, online tutorials, educational videos, etc.

              4. Who discovered the first candlestick pattern?

                The candlestick pattern was first discovered by a rice trader in Japan, Homma Munesiha, in the 1700s. 

              5. What is a wick in a candlestick?

                Wicks are shadows or lines that indicate where the price of a stock has fluctuated based on its opening and closing prices. A shadow represents the highest and lowest prices at which a security has been traded over time.

            2. Introduction to Gift Nifty: A Cross-border Initiative

              Introduction to Gift Nifty: A Cross-border Initiative

              If you’re a trader who follows news about stocks, economic developments, and other factors that could affect the volatility of the Indian stock market. In that case, you’ve probably heard of the Gift Nifty, formerly known as the SGX Nifty, and you probably check it before Indian markets open. But you may be wondering why Gift Nifty is called that.
              Therefore, we will explain in today’s blog why the SGX Nifty was renamed Gift Nifty.

              Capital Market

              The capital market is a place where financial instruments with long-term maturity are bought and sold. It provides a place where business houses and the government raise funds for different purposes.
              The capital market is divided into 2 parts

              1.  Primary Market – The place where securities are issued for the first time to the investors.

              2.  Secondary Market – The place where the investors buy and sell issued securities.

              Types of Secondary Market

              1.  Cash Market – It is a place where investors get the delivery of shares after purchasing them.

              2.  Derivative Market – The contract is traded in this market, and its value is derived from an underlying asset. A fixed and predetermined date is set for a derivative contract.

              Gift Nifty

              Stock Market Index

              A stock market index shows how a certain set of stocks has performed. An index is made up of stocks that represent a specific industry or pool of securities. Utilizing the free float market capitalization weighting approach, the index is calculated. 

              A few examples of indices are the Bank Nifty, which consists of stocks from the banking industry, and the Nifty IT, which consists of stocks from the technology sector. 

              Did You Know?

              Free float shares refer to publicly traded shares and are less than the total number of shares issued.

              Nifty

              The National Stock Exchange (NSE) launched the Indian market index, known as Nifty50, in 1996. Based on market capitalization, it shows the performance of the top 50 listed Indian firms. An investor can use this index to comprehend the overall market trend, which aids in the development of their trading strategy. 

              SGX Nifty

              Singapore Nifty is another name for SGX Nifty. It was formerly traded in Singapore dollars. Based on SGX Nifty patterns, it helps Indian traders forecast market direction. Foreign investors trade in the derivative contract, giving them access to Indian markets and enabling them to trade the Indian stock market at their local time. Trading in the SGX Nifty usually takes place ahead of Indian market hours, allowing investors to respond to worldwide sentiments that may impact Indian markets. 

              Did you know? 

              Gift Nifty has been traded on the Gift City, Gujarat, India-based NSE International Exchange since July 2023. It was traded on the Singapore Stock Exchange before this.

              Gift Nifty

              Effective July 3, 2023, the SGX Nifty contract has been rebranded as Gift Nifty. About 7.5 billion dollars worth of derivative contracts were transferred from the Singapore Exchange to the NSE International Exchange, which is based in Gandhinagar, Gujarat’s Gift City.

              Gift Nifty 50, Gift Nifty Bank, Gift Nifty Financial Services, and Gift Nifty IT derivative contracts are the four products that fall under the umbrella of the Gift Nifty.

              Timing of Gift Nifty

              Nearly 21 hours a day are spent trading on the Gift Nifty. It has two sessions for trading timing. The hours of the first session are 6:30 a.m. to 3:40 p.m. and the second session is 4:35 p.m. to 2:45 a.m. Trade sessions for Asia, Europe, and the United States occur simultaneously with Gift Nifty trading. 

              Gift City

              Gujarat International Finance Tec-city, sometimes called Gift City, is an International Financial Service Center (IFSC) that was founded to establish a financial hub by providing top-notch infrastructure. It was founded by the Gujarat government, with backing from the Indian government, and it started operations in April 2015 after being granted permission by the Reserve Bank of India to function as an IFSC.

              IFSCs operate in London, Singapore, Hong Kong, Dubai, and Frankfurt.

              Read Also: NIFTY Next 50 – Meaning, Types & Features

              Significance of Shifting of SGX Nifty to Gift Nifty

              According to the CEO of NSE, India is seeing a “watershed moment” with this trend. According to him, the rebranding will enhance India’s reputation abroad, leading to the purchase of foreign contracts that were previously transacted outside the nation. The financial sector in India has achieved a significant milestone as a result of SGX Nifty’s activity since traders now have wider access to the market and more liquidity. Other foreign organizations will be able to establish themselves in the city as a result of this change.

              SGX Nifty

              How does Gift Nifty impact the Indian Market?

              The Gift Nifty is a leading indicator of how the Indian stock market will open because the Gift Nifty opens 2.5 hours ahead of the Indian market. The movement of the Gift Nifty helps traders decide whether to enter the market with a long position or short position. When comparing Gift Nifty to Nifty 50, it is more volatile.  

              If investors are uncertain about the direction of the market, they may employ Gift Nifty as a tactic to hedge their position and lower potential risk in the Indian market. Any developments in the world economy that take place after the Indian market closes and before it reopens the next day would affect the price of Gift Nifty.  

              Difference between Gift Nifty and Nifty

              1.  While the Gift Nifty is a futures contract based on Nifty, the Indian Nifty is made up of 50 shares. 

              2.  While Indian retail investors are not allowed to trade in Gift Nifty, they can easily trade in Nifty.

              3.  Global market sentiments have a significant impact on Gift Nifty, but Indian economic conditions, policies, and corporate profits have a greater impact on Nifty’s movement. 

              4.  Nifty trades in real-time, while Gift Nifty only gives the Indian market’s direction.

              5.  While Gift Nifty investments are made in dollars through NSE IX, investments on Indian markets can be made in Indian rupees.

              6.  The Indian market is open for trading from 9:15 to 3:30, but Gift Nifty is open for trading from 6:30 a.m. to 3:40 p.m. and from 4:35 p.m. to 2:45 a.m.

              Read Also: Gift City Case Study: Timeline, Management, and Development

              Conclusion

              The move of the SGX Nifty from Singapore to Gift City, India, is a significant milestone. It gives any outside investor a chance to enter the Indian market. Since only foreign investors or non-resident Indians can invest in Gift Nifty, Indian investors are limited in learning how the market will go.

              You must also consider your risk tolerance if you are investing in the Indian market and witnessing directional momentum from Gift Nifty.

              Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

              1. Can I trade in Gift Nifty in India?

                Indian retail investors are not allowed to trade in Gift Nifty as only foreign portfolio investors and non-resident individuals are allowed to trade in it.

              2. What is the new name of SGX Nifty?

                The name of SGX Nifty changed to Gift Nifty on 3rd July 2023.0

              3. What is the time of Gift Nifty opening?

                The Gift Nifty will open around 6:30 a.m. to 3:40 p.m. and reopen from 4:35 p.m. to 2:45 a.m.

              4. How can I track the price of Gift Nifty?

                You can search Gift Nifty in your trading platform’s search section and track the price there.

              5. Can I purchase Gift Nifty in the cash segment?

                No, only future derivative contracts are traded in Gift Nifty.

            3. Introduction to Bearish Candlesticks Patterns: Implications and Price Movement Prediction

              Introduction to Bearish Candlesticks Patterns: Implications and Price Movement Prediction

              In our last blog, we explained a candlestick pattern and which bullish patterns to consider before entering a bullish trend. However, how can you tell when a stock will correct after making higher highs? In this blog, we’ll introduce you to several bearish candlestick patterns, which will help you determine when to exit a buying position. 

              To learn more about bullish candlestick patterns, click here

              Hanging Man

              Typically, this one-off candlestick pattern emerges after an upward trend. It is referred to as a bearish reversal pattern, which suggests that an uptrend is ending and that a stock price correction is on the card. The candle is small in the top part and has a lengthy bottom shadow that extends beyond the body of the light, giving the appearance of a hanging man. However, the shadows in the upper part are either nonexistent or minimal. This pattern appears after a strong uptrend with an increase in selling volume.

              Shooting Star

              The shooting star sometimes called the inverted hammer candlestick pattern, signals that a stock’s upward trend will halt and a negative one is about to start. The single candlestick in this pattern has a little body with a longer upper shadow (lacks a lower shadow). This candle typically indicates that although purchasers attempted to drive up the price, they could not because of selling pressure. 

              Dark Cloud Cover

              A pair of candlestick patterns called “dark cloud cover” signals the end of an uptrend. A bullish candle with a lengthy white or green body that suggests a significant upward trend will be the first candle to appear. The second candle will be red and open higher than the close of the day before, but it closes below the candle’s halfway. This pattern typically signals a bearish trend’s beginning and a bullish sentiment’s end.

              Bearish Engulfing

              It is considered a strong reversal signal, which indicates that bullish movement is about to end, and a potential downtrend may start. This is also a two-candlestick pattern out of which the first candle is green and has a small body. The second candle opens above the previous day’s close and closes below the last day’s open by covering the entire range of the last day’s candle. The size of the second candle needs to be larger than the size of the first candle.

              Three Black Crows

              The three candlestick pattern known as the “three black crows” is a vital clue that a negative trend in the script is about to start. The three candles are all bearish, and since their closing prices are all less than their opening prices, they are likely to lack a wick or have a short one. The selling pressure increases with the length of the candle’s body. And the closing price of every candle should be near to its low. Also, a larger volume using these candles will put more pressure on the seller to sell.

              Tweezer Top

              This pattern suggests that the peak has formed and that the stock is ready to go into a bear trend. This is also a two-candlestick pattern, where the buyers are showing interest in the stock indicated by the first green candle, and the second candle, which forms later, is bearish, indicating that the closing price is lower than the opening price and that the highs of both candles are the same or barely differ. This pattern suggests that selling pressure is building and that purchasers are unable to gain control over the stock. These two candles are known as “Tweezer Tops” because of the way their patterns form; they look like tweezers. 

              Gravestone Doji

              At the height of a bullish run, this candlestick pattern emerges. The graveyard doji is a little real-body candle with a long upper wick or shadow and a small or nonexistent below shadow. It shows that the opening and closing values of the candle are near the low of the trading session. The shape suggests that the buyer initially attempted, but was unable, to drive the price higher, and that ultimately, the closing price approached the lowest price of the day, taking the form of a gravestone. 

              Bearish Kicker

              The pressure of volume has suddenly shifted from purchasing to selling. This two-candlestick pattern usually appears near the peak of an ascending trend. Two candlesticks will appear in this pattern: a long, bullish candle that suggests the upswing will continue and a gap-down candle that opens below the closing price of the preceding candle and closes below its low.  

              Bearish Kicker indicator

              Bearish Harami

              Bearish harami is a pattern that generally indicates that the upside has now been limited in stock, and a downside movement looms. It is a two-candlestick pattern. The first candle is a large bullish candle, followed by the second bearish candle, which is very small in trend and engulfed by the previous candle. The closing price of the second candle is significantly lower than the opening price of the first candle.

              Read Also: Introduction to Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Implications and Price Movement Prediction

              Conclusion

              The bearish candlestick patterns will assist traders in taking short positions in the market. Using the indications above, one may determine when a bullish trend in a specific stock is about to stop and a negative trend is about to start. In general, there is no assurance from these indicators that the bearish trend will begin or persist. It is essential to realize that these patterns may not hold up if any unexpected news regarding the stock is made public. 

              Thus, before making any trades, traders should always review the larger market context, consider a few more indications in addition to the ones listed above, and remember that risk management is crucial. 

              Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

              1. How important are the length and shape of a bearish candlestick pattern??

                The length and shape of the candlestick pattern typically indicate the level of selling pressure in a particular stock. 

              2. Where can the bearish candlestick pattern be found?

                A bearish candlestick pattern can be discovered close to the resistance level in an uptrend.

              3. When a stock is trending downward, can I still trade?

                Yes, you can take advantage of the sell-side opportunity by initiating a short position in the stock.

              4. Which bearish candlestick pattern is the most effective?

                There are various bearish candlestick patterns, such as bearish harami, hanging man, shooting star, black cloud cover, etc. However, each bearish candlestick pattern has pros and cons, so managing your risk appropriately is vital.

              5. Is it possible for me to trade without understanding candlestick patterns?

                You can trade without knowing about candlestick patterns. Still, it could be quite challenging for you to determine any stock’s trend because candlestick patterns are used in technical research to help you determine potential stock price trends.

            4. Introduction to Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Implications and Price Movement Prediction

              Introduction to Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Implications and Price Movement Prediction

              Technical analysis is an integral part of trading, and today we’ll explain a few Bullish Candlestick Patterns that experienced traders employ to indicate a potential movement of stock price and thus earn abnormal returns. 

              If you wish to expand your knowledge on Bearish Candlesticks Patterns, then click here to read our blog.

              Bullish Candlestick Overview

              Candlesticks are the pictorial representation of stock price movement over a specific period of time. The period can be daily, weekly, half-yearly, etc. The candles are formed by a stock’s open, high, low, and closing price. They are often shown by different colors, such as – a green or white candle stands for upside movement in the stock while a red or black candle represents the downward movement.

              A candle has three parts:

              1. The body represents the stock’s open and closing prices.

              2. The wick displays the stock’s intraday high or low.

              3. The color of the candlesticks indicates the direction of the stock’s price movement.

              Bullish Candlestick Patterns

              This pattern indicates that the stock price will rebound and trend upward following a stock price correction. Traders typically utilize the candlestick pattern to enter a stock after it has shown an upward trend.

              A few typical bullish candlestick patterns are listed below.

              Bullish Engulfing Pattern

              This candlestick pattern indicates a turnaround and the conclusion of a downward trend. It manifests as two candles, the larger of which is a bullish candle that swallows the earlier bearish candle. It shows the change in momentum from negative to positive. Traders will interpret this as an indication to go long in stock. It is named “engulfing” because the body of the bullish candlestick “engulfs” the entire body of the previous bearish candlestick.

              This pattern is more likely to occur when a stock price has had a substantial decline and the stock is finding support close to its critical levels. Additionally, a higher volume suggests buyers are becoming interested in the stock.

              Hammer Candlestick Pattern

              It is formed like a hammer, as the name implies. This single candlestick pattern appears when a stock hits its support level at the bottom of a downtrend. Hammer candles have long wicks and small upper bodies because the wick in the lower portion is significantly longer than the candle body in the upper half.

              Traders typically interpret this as the end of selling pressure, at which point purchasers attempt to regain control of the buying interest. 

              The widespread consensus is that the stronger the bullish indication, the longer the lower wick of the candle.

              Morning Star Candlestick Pattern

              This bullish pattern with three candles usually appears at the bottom of a downtrend. The first candle in this pattern will be a long bearish candle, signifying that sellers are in complete control of the stock; the second candle will be a little body candle, suggesting that selling pressure may be waning. The long bullish candle that closes above the first candle’s midpoint will be the final or third candle. This suggests that buyers are attempting to control the stock price movement fully.

              The strength of the pattern increases with the size of the second little body candle. When it follows a protracted downward trend, this pattern is more dependable.

              Piercing Pattern

              The pattern has two candlesticks and is bullish. The first candle in this pattern is bearish, while the second candle reverses course and closes close enough within the body of the previous day’s bearish candle. The second candle opens lower than the previous day’s close, or it opens with a gap down and trades lower during the session. The candle, on the second day, ought to close halfway up to the bearish candle’s body.

              The bullish pattern’s strength increases with the bullish candle’s size relative to the preceding bearish candle.

              Three White Soldier

              Three consecutive white or green candles make up this bullish reversal candlestick pattern. It typically occurs near the conclusion of a downward trend and indicates a possible uptrend. Every one of the three white candles opens higher than the body of the candle from the day before and closes at a higher price. No upper shadow on any of the three candles should indicate constant purchasing pressure. Each candle in the pattern should have a body larger than the one before, signifying a purchasing indication. Buyers are believed to be aggressively gathering momentum in the stock through this pattern.

              Bullish Harami Pattern

              It is a signal that could indicate an upward trend reversal in the stock. It is a two-candlestick pattern that appears while the market is declining. The first candle in this pattern is a big bearish candle that suggests there is selling pressure on the stock, and the second candle is a tiny bullish candle that is entirely surrounded by the first candle’s body. The second candle begins lower than the previous day’s close and ends higher than that day’s opening. Although the second candle is bullish, it is smaller than the bearish candle that came before it, indicating insufficient positive momentum to reverse the downward trend completely.

              Tweezer Bottom

              The tweezer bottom pattern indicates that bulls are attempting to take complete control of the stock as selling pressure is likely to release. This pattern is often regarded as stronger when the stock is close to its support and is thought to be more dependable when it emerges following a prolonged downturn. The first candle in this pattern is bearish, which usually has a lengthy lower shadow. The second candle’s body should be larger than the first, and its bottom should be close to the first candle’s low. The pattern of these two candlesticks is similar to a pair of tweezers.

              Read Also: Introduction to Bearish Candlesticks Patterns: Implications and Price Movement Prediction

              Conclusion

              We’ve gone over the most common bullish candlestick patterns, but a trader must perform their due diligence before investing in stocks. It is also essential to remember that even with bullish candlestick patterns, it is advisable to use all other types of candlestick patterns to assess the larger market, as these can occasionally be false signals. 

              Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

              1. To what extent are bullish candlestick patterns dependable? 

                Although bullish candlestick patterns can offer insightful information about the possible direction of stock movement, they should be utilized with additional indicators and tools for technical analysis to ensure accuracy. Since no single signal or pattern is perfect, it is essential to consider a range of factors before making trading decisions. 

              2. Which is the best bullish candlestick pattern?

                Since each bullish candlestick pattern has advantages and disadvantages, controlling your risk when trading is always advisable.

              3. What does the red candle signify?

                A red candle indicates that the stock is likely to be in a downward trend and close lower than the previous day.

              4. What do you mean by the wick of a candle?

                The wick of a candle refers to the thin lines that extend from the body of the candle, reflecting the highest and the lowest price that stock hits on a particular day. These are also called the “Shadow” of a candle.

              5. Do all bullish candlestick patterns have a long wick or shadow?

                No, all bullish candlestick patterns do not have long wicks or shadows; only some candlestick patterns, like a hammer, etc, have shadows.

            5. BSE Sensex vs BSE All Cap? A Comparative Study

              BSE Sensex vs BSE All Cap? A Comparative Study

              The ‘BSE Sensex’ and BSE ‘All Cap’ are indices launched by BSE. Before we delve into their analysis, let’s understand what BSE is first.

              BSE, also known as the Bombay Stock Exchange, has been an efficient capital-raising platform for the past 143 years. It was established in the year 1875 as ‘The Native Share & Stock Brokers Association’.

              In 2017, BSE became the first listed stock exchange in India. BSE aims at providing a transparent market for trading in equity, currencies, debt instruments, derivatives, and mutual funds.

              • BSE STAR MF is India’s largest online mutual fund platform, which processes over 27 lakh transactions per month.
              • BSE Bond, the transparent and efficient electronic book mechanism process for private placement of debt securities, is the market leader.

              BSE’s well-known equity index, ‘The S&P BSE SENSEX’, is India’s most widely used and tracked benchmark index.

              Did you know?

              BSE is Asia’s first and the fastest Stock Exchange in the world with a speed of 6 microseconds.

              BSE Sensex vs BSE All Cap A Comparative Study

              BSE SENSEX

              The ‘S&P BSE SENSEX’ also known as the “SENSEX” is a benchmark index of the Bombay Stock Exchange. It tracks the performance of the 30 largest and most liquid companies listed on the stock exchange.

              You must be wondering what a benchmark is. Well, a benchmark is a widely used standard to compare the returns generated by securities. Index as a benchmark depicts the overall health of the stock market, representing a substantial portion of the Indian market capitalisation.

              Consider ‘SENSEX’ as a basket containing the top 30 stocks in terms of size and trading activity. The price fluctuations showcase the combined performance of these companies and give you a general sense of how the Indian stock market is performing.

              Its value is calculated based on the free float-adjusted market capitalisation, i.e., the weightage of each company depends on its market cap but is adjusted for the portion of shares available for trading.

              BSE All Cap

              The ‘BSE All Cap’ is a broader Index launched in 2015 that comprises the S&P BSE Large Cap, the S&P BSE Mid Cap, and the S&P BSE Small Cap. It measures the performance of 1,170 companies that are listed on the stock exchange of different market capitalisation.

              Did You Know?

              Market Capitalisation = Current Market Price of Shares * Total Number of Outstanding Shares

              For example, a company with 1 lakh outstanding shares, each valued at INR 100, would have a market cap of (1 lakh * INR 100) INR 1 crore.

              Read Also: How Many Companies Are Listed on NSE & BSE?

              Sensex vs All Cap

              The “Sensex” tracks the performance of the 30 largest companies and is a basket of India’s blue-chip stocks, whereas “All Cap” tracks the performance of 1,170 companies across all market capitalisation and includes large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap.

              “Sensex” is considered less volatile since its major focus is on large and established companies whose performance tends to be more stable, while “All Cap” can be more volatile because of its broader market exposure and inclusion of small and growth-oriented companies with fluctuations in their performance.

              Let’s have a look at the historical returns given by them:

              Historical Returns

               Time Frame Sensex (%)All Cap  (%)
               1 Year 17.43 28.96
               3 Year 13.51 18.99
              5 Year14.4417.05
              10 Year12.8415.04*
              *Index launched on 15 April 2015

              Read Also: BSE Sensex vs BSE All Cap? A Comparative Study

              Investment Strategies

              Investment Strategies

              Choosing between Sensex and All Cap depends completely on your investment goals and risk tolerance. However, below mentioned points will give you a brief overview of strategies:

              BSE SENSEX

              1. Index Investing

              Invest in Sensex-based Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) or Index funds to passively track the performance and growth of the top 30 companies. This investment strategy is low-cost and can be beneficial for investors who wish to start their financial journey.

              1. Value Investing

              Choose undervalued Sensex stocks with strong fundamentals when compared to industry benchmarks and decent prospects. This will help you find some hidden gems.

              1. Dividend stocks Investing

              Go for stocks with a history of consistent dividend pay-outs so that you can generate not only good returns but also regular income.

              BSE All Cap

              1. Growth investing

              Target those stocks of ‘All Cap’ that hold high growth potential. You will often find these stocks in mid-cap and small-cap segments. Do proper research to analyse their prospects and financial health.

              1. Thematic Investing

              Invest in stocks based on specific themes such as technology, healthcare, energy or infrastructure, which can give you returns in the long term.

              Sectoral Analysis

              Understanding the sectoral composition of ‘BSE Sensex’ and ‘All Cap’ can help you measure their exposure to different industries.

              • BSE Sensex is dominated by financials with a weightage of around 26% due to the presence of major banks and financial institutions such as HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, etc. IT and consumer goods such as TCS, HUL, and ITC also hold significant weightage of around 13% to 15%. However, energy, healthcare, etc. represents the smaller portions of the index.
              • BSE All cap is more diversified, but financials still hold the top spot with weightage around 18%. However, the weightage is lower than that of Sensex. There is also a stronger presence of mid-cap and small-cap companies. Also, emerging sectors like healthcare, materials, and utilities have greater exposure and high weightage than BSE Sensex.

              Refer to the links below for a complete list of the Constituents of both indices:

              Risk & Return

              Risk and Return

              ‘BSE Sensex’ is generally considered less risky due to its focus on large companies with relatively stable performance and has historically offered lower average returns compared to All Cap due to its focus on mature companies with slower growth.

              ‘All Cap’ is more volatile because of its broader exposure and also carries a higher risk. Historically, ‘All Cap’ has offered higher returns because mid and small-cap companies carry growth potential. However, remember that historical returns provide no guarantee for future returns.

              Combining stocks from various indices or sectors can help you curate a balanced portfolio with stability and returns.

              Read Also: A Comparative Study on NSE v/s BSE: Differences, Similarities, and Popularity

              Conclusion

              In summation, ‘Sensex’ and ‘All Cap’ offer valuable insights and exposure to the Indian stock market. The former represents the top 30 companies in India and, the latter represents the 1,170 companies. Keep in mind that past performance is not indicative of future results. Focus on research and carefully assess your risk appetite before making any investment decisions.

              Frequently Answered Questions (FAQs)

              1. What is the difference between BSE Sensex and All Cap?

                ‘Sensex’ tracks the 30 largest blue-chip companies, and ‘All Cap’ tracks 1,170 companies across all market sizes.

              2. Which index is right for me?

                Choosing between the two completely depends on your investment objectives and risk appetite.

              3. Which index is more impacted by economic events?

                ‘All Cap’ because of its broader exposure, it can be more volatile during short-term economic fluctuations and specific sector-related events.

              4. What are some emerging sectors within the ‘All Cap’ Index?

                A few  emerging sectors that are currently drawing investors’ attention are renewable energy, electric vehicles, healthcare, artificial intelligence, etc.

              5. Can I invest directly in Sensex or All Cap?

                No! Sensex and All Cap are not actual investment vehicles. You can invest in them through Index Funds, ETFs, etc.

            6. Relative Strength Index – What Is It And How To Use It?

              Relative Strength Index – What Is It And How To Use It?

              Summary of RSI

              You have entered into the world of Stock Markets and are looking to sharpen your technical analysis skills. You come across the word “RSI” and wonder what exactly it is.  We’ll unravel the knots of RSI in this blog. 

              If you’re not familiar with this word, RSI stands for Relative Strength Index. It is the most widely used technical indicator to measure the momentum of a security.  

              RSI was developed by American engineer and technical analyst J. Welles Wilder Jr. in the year 1978. It was introduced in his book “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.”

              The RSI is a momentum oscillator and oscillates between 0 to 100. Momentum Oscillators help traders identify overbought and oversold zones. In the overbought zone, markets are considered as bullish and bearish in the oversold zone. Further, RSI indicates the upcoming trend reversals or trend continuation in market.

              With the help of RSI, traders and technical analysts can make informed decisions in the market. 

              Calculation of RSI

              RSI calculation

              RSI is calculated using a rolling period of 14 days. The period could be changed as per the suitability. However, the most preferred period is 14 days only.

              For each day, calculate the price change, i.e., if the closing price is higher than the previous closing price, calculate the gain, and if the closing price is lower, calculate the loss. Then, calculate the average gain or average loss.

              In the last step, calculate the Relative strength (RS) by dividing the average gain by the average loss and calculate the RSI using the formula given below.

              RSI = 100 – (100/1+RS)

              Don’t get confused by looking at the formula of RSI; charting software will do all the calculations for you.

              Formulas:

              1. Price Change = Today’s Closing Price – Last day’s Closing Price.
              2. Average Gain = Sum of gains over the given period / Number of days in the period.
              3. Average Loss = Sum of losses over the period / Number of days in the period.
              4. Relative Strength (RS) = Average Gain / Average Loss.

              How to use RSI

              A few applications of RSI are listed below:

              1. Overbought & Oversold Conditions

              If the value of the RSI is above 70, it is considered that the price of the stock is in the overbought zone and a price correction is expected. In contrast, values of the RSI below 30 indicate that the stock price is in the oversold zone, and a price rebound is expected.

              2. Divergence

              RSI divergence occurs when the asset price makes higher highs, but RSI makes higher lows and vice versa. RSI and the price of a security move in the opposite direction. This indicates the weakening of the current trend or trend reversal.

              Further, Divergence can be of two types:

              • Regular Divergence – In regular divergence, the asset price and the RSI move in the opposite direction. Further, regular divergence is classified into bullish divergence and bearish divergence. 
              • Hidden Divergence – Hidden Divergence occurs when the asset price and the RSI moves in the same direction and the asset price makes a new high or new low, but the high or low on the RSI is in the same direction. Future, hidden divergence is classified into bearish hidden divergence and bullish hidden divergence. 

              3. Trend Confirmation

              RSI is used to confirm the strength of a trend. If the RSI increases along with the price, it indicates a strong uptrend in the asset. On the other hand, if the RSI falls along with the price, it indicates a strong downtrend in the asset.

              4. Support and Resistance Level

              RSI can be used in combination with support and resistance levels. For example, the stock price is at its resistance level, and the RSI is in the overbought zone, i.e., above 70. This could indicate a trend reversal in the asset from the current level.

              Advantages of RSI

              Advantages of RSI
              1. RSI can be applied to multiple financial instruments, including stocks, foreign exchange, cryptocurrencies, etc.
              2. Traders can customise the look-back period for the RSI calculation based on their preferences.
              3. RSI confirms the strength of the current trend in the market and can be useful in identifying overbought and oversold zones.

              Disadvantages of RSI

              1. RSI can generate false signals in a sideways market.
              2. RSI focuses purely on price action and does not take into consideration any other external factor, such as news or other economic events.
              3. Interpreting the values of RSI is a subjective task. Different traders may have different opinions regarding the zones of RSI.
              4. RSI is a lagging indicator that reacts to price changes after it happens. This could lead to delayed signals.

              Common Mistakes While Using RSI

              1. Relying heavily on overbought and oversold zones

              The most common mistake that traders make is relying solely on the overbought and oversold zones suggested by the RSI.

              2. Ignoring Trend Direction

              Traders sometimes forget to consider the overall trend of the market. Their major focus is on the RSI zones and on interpreting these signals. This can lead to poor trading decisions.

              3. Impatient Behaviour

              Traders may ignore stop losses and make impulsive decisions while focusing on signals generated by the RSI. This increases the risk of significant losses in the market.

              Tips for using RSI

              1. Use RSI in combination with other technical indicators and do not solely rely on signals generated by RSI. Keep yourself updated about the upcoming news and corporate events that could affect the price of the asset.
              2. Before getting into any trade, analyse the RSI on different timeframes to get a better view of the market.
              3. Use RSI only as a trend confirmation tool to identify the current market trend.
              4. Be cautious about the false signals generated by RSI.

              Read Also: Top Indicators Used By Intraday Traders In Scalping

              Conclusion

              We have un-winded the RSI, a widely used and valuable technical indicator. The concept of RSI is easy to understand the market trend. One can use RSI indicator across different financial instruments like cryptocurrencies, forex, etc. 

              However, it’s essential to remember that technical analysis is subjective and RSI should be used along with other tools and indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.

              Frequently Answered Questions (FAQs)

              1. Who developed RSI?

                J. Welles Wilder Jr.

              2. What is the full form of RSI?

                Relative Strength Index.

              3. Is RSI a leading or lagging indicator?

                Lagging indicator.

              4. What is the formula for RSI?

                Formula for RSI is [100 – (100/1+RS)].

              5. Is RSI above 70 considered an overbought zone?

                Yes.

            7. Risk Management In Trading: Meaning, Uses, and Strategies

              Risk Management In Trading: Meaning, Uses, and Strategies

              Quick Summary of Risk Management

              First, we need to understand what is risk and the factors that create risk in the stock market before we learn about risk management.

              In mathematical terms, risk is measured by standard deviation. It is a standardised measure of variation from the mean whether upside or downside. However, traders are more concerned about downside deviation. In simple language, risk in trading means traders fear losing the capital deployed in the market.

              Various factors like market fluctuations, interest rate changes, volatility, and poor financial results can cause risk.

              Risk management in trading

              What is Risk Management?

              Risk management is considered a cornerstone for effective trading. It involves identifying, analysing and mitigating potential risks in capital preservation while trading and achieving long-term success.

              Traders, when trading in stocks, commodities, currencies, or any kind of financial instrument, implement different risk management strategies to control and minimise the losses incurred on their capital.

              Effective risk management helps the trader to make informed trading decisions, help overcome fear and greed, and generate better returns.

              Strategies of Risk Management

              1. Position Sizing

              Position sizing means determining the capital allocation on a particular trade depending on the total capital and risk appetite.

              2. Stop-loss Orders

              Setting pre-defined stop loss orders while trading not only automatically exits your positions but also reduces risk and minimises potential losses. You can trail your stop loss which means that you can modify your stop loss based on the changes in prices of the stock.

              3. Risk-Reward Ratio

              Aim for trades with risk-reward ratios greater than 1:1, meaning potential profit outweighs loss and try focusing on trading opportunities with limited downside potential.

              4. Defining risk tolerance

              Before entering into a trade, do not forget to define the maximum loss you can afford if a security slips into losses. Risk tolerance is generally based on your financial goals. Avoid taking excessive risks.

              5. Hedging

              Hedging is defined as a financial strategy that traders and investors use to protect their portfolios. It offsets losses with gains by taking an opposite position in the financial instrument you are trading.

              6. Diversification

              Remember the famous saying, “Do not put all your eggs in one basket”. Do not concentrate your capital on a single stock or financial asset. Diversification of the portfolio is crucial to avoid over-exposure to risks.

              7. Cost-Averaging

              When averaging the stocks, you buy them at different low prices at regular intervals. This helps in managing the price risk.

              Read Also: What is Carry Trade? Definition, Example, Benefits, and Risks

              Algorithmic Trading & Risk Management

              Algorithmic Trading & Risk Management

              Algorithmic Trading, also known as algo trading, involves the usage of computer algorithms to execute trades.

              No doubt that algorithmic trading in recent times has been revolutionary since it provides traders with speed, automation, efficiency, and no human bias while executing trades. However, it comes with risk and can amplify your losses. Therefore, it is necessary to manage the risk caused by algo trading.

              Strategies for risk management are more or less similar for manual and algorithmic trading. In addition to the above-mentioned strategies, other points that a trader needs to focus on are as follows:

              1. Conduct thorough back testing to analyse the past performance of the algorithm that you are using. Try implementing the strategies in different and extreme market conditions to ensure proper working. This will help you identify potential risks.

              2. Do work on failover mechanisms to manage technical failures and analyse how the algo will react in such situations.

              3. Regularly monitor algorithm performance, track risk metrics, and adapt strategies as needed.

              Trading Psychology and Risk Management

              Trading Psychology and Risk Management

              Trading psychology and risk management are two important pillars of successful trading, intricately woven together like the warp and weft of a well-made fabric. You need to control your emotions to implement effective risk management.

              Phycological factors like overconfidence, greed, and fear of loss can lead to poor risk management and impulsive decisions. Identifying your emotional triggers can help you manage your losses and mitigate the risks involved.

              You need to train your mind and develop a plan while trading in the markets and cultivate the discipline to stick to your trading plan so that you can achieve long-term success.

              Remember that trading psychology and risk management are ongoing processes that you need to continuously learn to refine your strategies and do not forget to seek professional advice to get valuable insights about the market.

              Risk Management for Day Traders

              Risk management is necessary for intra-day traders since they carry out several daily trades. This increases the chances of losses. Therefore, day traders should stick to their pre-determined risk limit and avoid overtrading.

              Developing a trading plan that defines the entry/exit point for your trades can help the day-traders in risk management. If a day trader wishes to manage the risk, he or she must be particular with leverage. Leveraging can lead to an increased risk of losses.

              Identify and trade with the prevailing trend. This can improve the probability of success and reduce the likelihood of being on the wrong side of a significant move. Do not trade just because you incurred a loss in your previous trade. Revenge trading often led to losses.

              Risk Management – Forex and Options Trading 

              The above-mentioned strategies for risk management work well with forex and options trading.

              But forex trading, with its high leverage and 24/7 market access, carries significant risks. By implementing the strategies discussed above and using technical analysis to understand the market trends, you can execute proper risk management to preserve your capital.

              In the case of Options trading, apart from the above-listed points, additional areas to keep in mind so that the risk can be managed are

              1. Aiming for delta-neutral positions to minimise exposure in direction trades.

              2. Use credit spreads like bull call spreads or bear put spreads to reduce the exposure.

              3. You should be aware of the effect of implied volatility on the prices of the option and adjust your positions accordingly.

              4. Options lose their value with time because of theta decay. One must adjust position size and expiry dates accordingly to manage the risk.

              Read Also: What is Price Action Trading & Price Action Strategy?

              Conclusion

              On a parting note, risk management is a wise practice. It helps to safeguard your capital and guides your journey towards long-term growth. It does not matter if you are a seasoned trainer or a newbie, intraday trader or positional trader, analysing risk and understanding is important to function in the market.

              There is no one-size-fits-all approach. Your risk management plan should be personalised as per your risk tolerance and capital availability.

              Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

              1. What is risk management?

                Risk management involves identifying, analysing and mitigating potential risks in capital preservation while trading and achieving long-term success.

              2. What are some common risk management strategies?

                Some common risk management strategies are position sizing, hedging, stop loss orders, etc.

              3. Why risk management is important for traders?

                Risk management is important for traders since it helps in minimising losses and capital preservation.

              4. What is position sizing?

                Position sizing means determining the capital allocation on a particular trade depending on the total capital and risk appetite.

              5. Is risk management the same for all traders?

                Risk management is not the same for all traders because it depends on individual trading style and capital.

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