How To Compare Two Stocks In The Same Industry?

Compare Two Stocks In The Same Industry

Let’s consider two companies in a sector that sell the same product, serve the same audience base and face the same regulators. You decide to invest in both, thinking that they will offer the same returns in 10 years of time. But once 10 years pass, you notice that one company multiplies your investment 10x, while the other barely beats a fixed deposit investment you made 15 years back. Looking at this, one thought that will definitely cross your mind is: why does the same sector produce such wild outcomes in the same duration? Is it because of luck? 

The answer here lies not in luck but in business quality, growth durability, profitability, valuation and management integrity of the particular business. Moving ahead, if you find yourself, along your investment journey, standing between two stocks in the same industry, then this blog will provide you with the perfect 7-step framework to complete the comparison process thoroughly. 

Why Comparing Two Stocks In The Same Industry Works Best? 

Same-industry comparison allows you to compare stocks in terms of similar factors. For example, when two pharmaceutical companies face the same pricing controls, the differences in their numbers will reflect execution style, not the market noise. The absence of excessive market noise makes the ratios genuinely and easily comparable.

Comparing across industries that are quite different often misleads you. A bank with a P/E (Price-to-Earnings ratio) of 12 and an IT company with a P/E of 28 tells you almost nothing. This is because a bank and an IT company approach profit-making very differently. For a bank, its product, by default, is ‘money’ itself. But for an IT company, they just need a bunch of laptops and smart people. They don’t operate on borrowed money. Comparing a bank with an IT company is like comparing a fish and a bird on the basis of how fast they run. In simple terms, it makes absolutely no sense. Hence, always remember to compare apples with apples, banks with banks and IT firms with IT firms. 

Step 1: Understand The Business

If you want to buy stocks and are presented with two distinct options from the same sector, always start by understanding what the companies actually do. 

  • Business model: Understand whether it manufactures, distributes or provides services. Is the revenue recurring or just one-off?
  • Product mix: A company that offers premium products has a tendency to earn higher margins as compared to one that sells commodities. 
  • Geographic exposure: Heavy dependency on exports increases exposure to global demand risks and currency fluctuations. Whereas, increased domestic focus increases exposure to policy changes and local demand risk. Neither is risk-free, so evaluate the dependency of the company. 
  • Customer concentration: If one customer accounts for 30% of the entire revenue, then losing that customer will pose a serious threat. 
  • Market share & moat: Look for a rising market share. This should always be considered a competitive advantage. Also keep an eye out for brand strength, switching costs, scale advantages and other moats that you can think of. 

    Step 2: Compare Growth

    If you want to compare stocks and compare companies, always keep in mind that you’ll want to compare their growth. Growth is a measure of the rate at which a business is growing. The 3-, 5-, and 10-year CAGRs (Compound Annual Growth Rates) are always handy to use when comparing revenues and growth. The 10-year time frame can be used to see a full cycle, while the 3-year time frame can be used to see current momentum.

    Furthermore, when you compare stocks in the same industry, consistency matters just as much. A company raising a profit of 15% every year is more consistent than the one that jumped to 80% in a single year and then dropped just as drastically. Also check whether profit growth is outpacing revenue growth (margin expansion) or lagging it (margin pressure). 

    Step 3: Compare Profitability

    Profitability is the indicator of how efficiently a company can turn sales and capital into definite earnings. 

    • Operating margin: Core business profitability before tax and interest. 
    • Net margin: What remains for shareholders after cutting all costs.
    • ROE (Return on Equity): Profit generated on shareholders’ funds. Watch out for ROE inflated by high debt. 
    • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): Returns on all capital, including debt. This is especially useful for capital-intensive sectors. 

      Which margin you need to compare depends on the sector you are choosing to invest in. Suppose you want to do stock analysis in the manufacturing sector, then the EBITDA margin and operating margin are key here. But if you want to compare companies in the FMCG sector, then you should focus on comparing the gross margin. 

      Step 4: Compare Valuation

      Investing in a great business can instantly turn into a poor investment decision if you end up overpaying. Key metrics to consider while you compare stocks are: 

      • P/E (Price-to-Earnings): Price paid per rupee of profit.
      • P/B (Price-to-Book): Essential for banks and financials.
      • EV/EBITDA: Accounts for debt, so it is fairer between companies with different capital structures. 
      • PEG (P/E divided by growth rate): Adjusts P/E for expected growth.
      • Dividend yield: Cash returned relative to price.

        Also, whenever you are doing a stock comparison in the same industry, never judge valuation in isolation. Always compare stock against its own 5 or 10-year average multiple and against the sector median. 

        Step 5: Compare Financial Health

        Strong financial health lets a company survive downfalls and keeps investors invested. 

        • Debt-to-equity: Lower is generally equivalent to lesser risk. Acceptable levels may still vary by sector.
        • Interest coverage ratio: EBIT divided by interest expense. Below 3 deserves caution from the investor. 
        • Current ratio: Current assets versus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity. 

          Then, move on to evaluating test earnings quality by comparing cash flow from operations (CFO) to reported net profit. If profit keeps rising but CFO lags persistently, this might be an indicator of the company booking revenue they cannot collect. Also, look for the receivable days and inventory days. These reveal working capital stress. 

          Step 6: Compare Management & Governance

          All the numbers that you will look at are all produced by people. Hence, take a minute to evaluate: 

          • Promoter holdings & pledged shares: High and stable promoter holdings are equivalent to confidence. Increased pledged shares are a negative sign. 
          • Management & people: Has management fulfilled previous guidance? Check for any past regulatory action or auditor resignations.
          • Large transactions with promoter-related parties: Value can be lost from minority shareholders in related transactions.
          • Capital allocation: Does the company reinvest at higher returns, make sensible acquisitions and avoid vanity projects?
          • Dividend history: Steady or increasing dividend payments indicate cash discipline and shareholder orientation.

            Step 7: Compare Price Performance & Technicals (Optional)

            This is an optional step for long-term investors but is very useful for timing and risk awareness. Use a decent stock screener to compare the returns of stocks over 1, 3 & 5 years against the benchmark index and also against other stocks. A good stock screener will also give you the option to view volatility and beta at the same time. Make sure that you use the same stock screener to compare both stocks to avoid an uneven comparison and inconsistent data.

            Read Also: Cyclical vs Defensive Stocks: Key Differences

            Common Mistakes To Avoid 

            The following are some common pitfalls to avoid when comparing stocks of the same industry: 

            • A single ratio (P/E or ROE) can lead to a false impression: Compare using a set of measures.
            • Failure to account for differences: Depreciation methods, revenue recognition & exceptional items may confuse comparisons. Read notes to accounts.
            • Comparing companies of different sizes: A small company that has just started to grow is not directly comparable to a company that has grown large, even if the metrics used to evaluate the companies are the same. 
            • Only take the latest data: A strong year can easily outperform a poor decade.
            • Confusing cheap with good: Often, low valuation can be a sign of genuine issues.
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              Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

              1. Which single ratio should I use to compare two stocks?

                No single ratio is sufficient. If forced to pick one, ROCE (or ROE for financials) tells you about business quality. But it should always be paired with valuation and balance check sheets.

              2. Stock A has a lower P/E than Stock B. Does that make it the better buy?

                Not necessarily. A lower P/E can reflect slower growth, higher risk, or weaker governance. Compare growth, returns and quality before concluding that it is genuinely undervalued. 

              3. Can I compare a large-cap and a small-cap stock from the same sector?

                Yes, it is possible. However, take precautions at all times. Smaller caps have higher risk and lower liquidity, but faster growth and less predictable earnings. 

              4. Can I use a stock screener to compare two stocks?

                Yes, you can. But ensure that you run the stocks through the same screener for consistent and reliable comparison data. 

              5. How do I fairly compare IT companies, banks or FMCG companies?

                Always compare only within the same sector and use sector-specific metrics like, NIM and GNPA for banks, attrition and deal wins for IT, and volume growth and distribution reach for FMCG. 

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